Subject: I never thought the Duke advantage was measured by raw differential of calls...
Posted by: CLC-UVA on Thu Aug 7 2008 1:56:56 PM
Message:
In watching game after game, over season after season, my own belief
is that the Duke bias is more about the calls NOT made against them,
and calls that SHOULDN'T have been made against their opponents.
So if you're going to show it as a differential, the Duke advantage
would be expressed by the number of Duke-friendly deviations from what
an accurately called game would have generated.
Maybe it should be called the DD -- the Duke Deviation. (No call on
Duke charge = +1DD; bogus call on Duke opponent = +1DD; etc.)